Cincinnati Bengals at Houston Texans

Before kickoff

CIN

27%

HOU

73%

Predicted winner

HOU

Confidence

73%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

37–31

Winner CIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+1.0 HOU
• Home field+0.5 HOU
• QB completion %−0.4 CIN
• Scoring+0.4 HOU