Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles

Before kickoff

WAS

36%

PHI

64%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

66%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–14

Winner WAS. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing defense−0.5 WAS
• Home field+0.5 PHI
• QB yards/attempt+0.5 PHI
• Points allowed+0.3 PHI