Carolina Panthers at Washington Commanders

Before kickoff

CAR

52%

WAS

48%

Predicted winner

CAR

Confidence

58%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–13

Winner CAR. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.5 WAS
• QB yards/attempt−0.4 CAR
• Passing defense+0.3 WAS
• Points allowed−0.3 CAR