Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

PIT

45%

CLE

55%

Predicted winner

CLE

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

22–24

Winner CLE. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Points allowed+0.5 CLE
• Home field+0.5 CLE
• Passing defense−0.5 PIT
• Rushing defense−0.2 PIT