Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals

Before kickoff

PIT

78%

CIN

22%

Predicted winner

PIT

Confidence

76%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

17–27

Winner CIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.6 PIT
• Scoring−0.6 PIT
• Points allowed+0.6 CIN
• Home field+0.5 CIN