Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

Before kickoff

TEN

73%

HOU

27%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

73%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

41–38

Winner TEN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring−0.6 TEN
• Rushing defense−0.5 TEN
• Home field+0.5 HOU
• Passing offense−0.3 TEN