Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints

Before kickoff

MIN

25%

NO

75%

Predicted winner

NO

Confidence

74%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

33–52

Winner NO. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.6 MIN
• Rushing defense+0.5 NO
• Home field+0.5 NO
• Passing defense+0.3 NO