New York Jets at Los Angeles Rams

Before kickoff

NYJ

21%

LAR

79%

Predicted winner

LAR

Confidence

76%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

23–20

Winner NYJ. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring+1.0 LAR
• Passing defense+0.9 LAR
• Points allowed−0.6 NYJ
• Home field+0.5 LAR