Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2022 W14 · CLE at CIN	24% / 76%	10–23	74%	Correct
2022 W14 · HOU at DAL	7% / 93%	23–27	85%	Correct
2022 W14 · JAX at TEN	32% / 68%	36–22	68%	Miss
2022 W14 · KC at DEN	72% / 28%	34–28	71%	Correct
2022 W14 · LV at LAR	71% / 29%	16–17	70%	Miss
2022 W14 · MIA at LAC	48% / 52%	17–23	57%	Correct
2022 W14 · MIN at DET	53% / 47%	23–34	58%	Miss
2022 W14 · NE at ARI	59% / 41%	27–13	61%	Correct
2022 W14 · NYJ at BUF	22% / 78%	12–20	75%	Correct
2022 W14 · PHI at NYG	74% / 26%	48–22	72%	Correct
2022 W14 · TB at SF	54% / 46%	7–35	58%	Miss
2022 W13 · BUF at NE	58% / 42%	24–10	60%	Correct
2022 W13 · CLE at HOU	86% / 14%	27–14	80%	Correct
2022 W13 · DEN at BAL	25% / 75%	9–10	72%	Correct
2022 W13 · GB at CHI	59% / 41%	28–19	61%	Correct
2022 W13 · IND at DAL	23% / 77%	19–54	73%	Correct
2022 W13 · JAX at DET	46% / 54%	14–40	57%	Correct
2022 W13 · KC at CIN	54% / 46%	24–27	57%	Miss
2022 W13 · LAC at LV	44% / 56%	20–27	59%	Correct
2022 W13 · MIA at SF	32% / 68%	17–33	67%	Correct
2022 W13 · NO at TB	44% / 56%	16–17	59%	Correct
2022 W13 · NYJ at MIN	29% / 71%	22–27	69%	Correct
2022 W13 · PIT at ATL	32% / 68%	19–16	67%	Miss
2022 W13 · SEA at LAR	75% / 25%	27–23	72%	Correct
2022 W13 · TEN at PHI	25% / 75%	10–35	72%	Correct
2022 W12 · ATL at WAS	47% / 53%	13–19	57%	Correct
2022 W12 · BAL at JAX	66% / 34%	27–28	65%	Miss
2022 W12 · BUF at DET	69% / 31%	28–25	67%	Correct
2022 W12 · CHI at NYJ	53% / 47%	10–31	56%	Miss
2022 W12 · CIN at TEN	54% / 46%	20–16	57%	Correct
2022 W12 · DEN at CAR	67% / 33%	10–23	66%	Miss
2022 W12 · GB at PHI	33% / 67%	33–40	66%	Correct
2022 W12 · HOU at MIA	20% / 80%	15–30	75%	Correct
2022 W12 · LAC at ARI	50% / 50%	25–24	54%	Miss
2022 W12 · LAR at KC	18% / 82%	10–26	77%	Correct
2022 W12 · LV at SEA	38% / 62%	40–34	63%	Miss
2022 W12 · NE at MIN	40% / 60%	26–33	61%	Correct
2022 W12 · NO at SF	31% / 69%	0–13	67%	Correct
2022 W12 · NYG at DAL	29% / 71%	20–28	69%	Correct
2022 W12 · PIT at IND	39% / 61%	24–17	62%	Miss