New England Patriots at Minnesota Vikings

Before kickoff

NE

40%

MIN

60%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

26–33

Winner MIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing defense−0.5 NE
• QB yards/attempt+0.4 MIN
• Home field+0.4 MIN
• Interception rate+0.2 MIN