Buffalo Bills at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

BUF

69%

DET

31%

Predicted winner

BUF

Confidence

67%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

28–25

Winner BUF. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.4 BUF
• Home field+0.4 DET
• Points allowed+0.3 DET
• Passing defense−0.3 BUF