Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

JAX

32%

TEN

68%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

68%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

36–22

Winner JAX. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 TEN
• QB yards/attempt+0.4 TEN
• Rushing defense+0.3 TEN
• Passing defense−0.2 JAX