Las Vegas Raiders at Seattle Seahawks

Before kickoff

LV

38%

SEA

62%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

63%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

40–34

Winner LV. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 SEA
• Scoring+0.2 SEA
• Rushing defense−0.1 LV
• Passing offense+0.1 SEA