Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

DEN

67%

CAR

33%

Predicted winner

DEN

Confidence

66%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

10–23

Winner CAR. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−1.0 DEN
• Home field+0.4 CAR
• Interception rate−0.3 DEN
• Passing offense+0.2 CAR