Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2022 W12 · TB at CLE	46% / 54%	17–23	56%	Correct
2022 W11 · CAR at BAL	16% / 84%	3–13	77%	Correct
2022 W11 · CHI at ATL	47% / 53%	24–27	56%	Correct
2022 W11 · CIN at PIT	75% / 25%	37–30	70%	Correct
2022 W11 · CLE at BUF	45% / 55%	23–31	57%	Correct
2022 W11 · DAL at MIN	45% / 55%	40–3	56%	Miss
2022 W11 · DET at NYG	37% / 63%	31–18	62%	Miss
2022 W11 · KC at LAC	63% / 37%	30–27	62%	Correct
2022 W11 · LAR at NO	26% / 74%	20–27	70%	Correct
2022 W11 · LV at DEN	59% / 41%	22–16	59%	Correct
2022 W11 · NYJ at NE	45% / 55%	3–10	57%	Correct
2022 W11 · PHI at IND	78% / 22%	17–16	73%	Correct
2022 W11 · SF at ARI	76% / 24%	38–10	71%	Correct
2022 W11 · TEN at GB	33% / 67%	27–17	65%	Miss
2022 W11 · WAS at HOU	68% / 32%	23–10	66%	Correct
2022 W10 · ARI at LAR	49% / 51%	27–17	53%	Miss
2022 W10 · ATL at CAR	79% / 21%	15–25	73%	Miss
2022 W10 · CLE at MIA	63% / 37%	17–39	61%	Miss
2022 W10 · DAL at GB	46% / 54%	28–31	55%	Correct
2022 W10 · DEN at TEN	38% / 62%	10–17	61%	Correct
2022 W10 · DET at CHI	36% / 64%	31–30	62%	Miss
2022 W10 · HOU at NYG	24% / 76%	16–24	70%	Correct
2022 W10 · IND at LV	31% / 69%	25–20	65%	Miss
2022 W10 · JAX at KC	23% / 77%	17–27	71%	Correct
2022 W10 · LAC at SF	34% / 66%	16–22	63%	Correct
2022 W10 · MIN at BUF	35% / 65%	33–30	63%	Miss
2022 W10 · NO at PIT	73% / 27%	10–20	68%	Miss
2022 W10 · SEA at TB	60% / 40%	16–21	60%	Miss
2022 W10 · WAS at PHI	17% / 83%	32–21	75%	Miss
2022 W9 · BAL at NO	49% / 52%	27–13	53%	Miss
2022 W9 · BUF at NYJ	73% / 27%	17–20	67%	Miss
2022 W9 · CAR at CIN	26% / 74%	21–42	69%	Correct
2022 W9 · GB at DET	67% / 33%	9–15	63%	Miss
2022 W9 · IND at NE	50% / 50%	3–26	52%	Correct
2022 W9 · LAC at ATL	50% / 50%	20–17	51%	Correct
2022 W9 · LAR at TB	43% / 57%	13–16	56%	Correct
2022 W9 · LV at JAX	49% / 51%	20–27	52%	Correct
2022 W9 · MIA at CHI	40% / 60%	35–32	59%	Miss
2022 W9 · MIN at WAS	65% / 35%	20–17	61%	Correct
2022 W9 · PHI at HOU	84% / 16%	29–17	75%	Correct