Minnesota Vikings at Washington Commanders

Before kickoff

MIN

65%

WAS

35%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–17

Winner MIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.4 MIN
• Home field+0.4 WAS
• Scoring−0.4 MIN
• Passing defense+0.3 WAS