Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos

Before kickoff

LV

59%

DEN

41%

Predicted winner

LV

Confidence

59%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

22–16

Winner LV. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 DEN
• Scoring−0.4 LV
• QB yards/attempt−0.3 LV
• Passing defense+0.3 DEN