Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings

Before kickoff

DAL

45%

MIN

55%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

56%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

40–3

Winner DAL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 MIN
• Passing defense−0.4 DAL
• QB yards/attempt+0.3 MIN
• Passing offense−0.2 DAL