Denver Broncos at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

DEN

38%

TEN

62%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

10–17

Winner TEN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing defense−0.5 DEN
• Home field+0.4 TEN
• Rushing defense+0.3 TEN
• Passing offense+0.3 TEN