Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

TB

46%

CLE

54%

Predicted winner

CLE

Confidence

56%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

17–23

Winner CLE. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 CLE
• Passing offense+0.3 CLE
• Points allowed+0.2 CLE
• Interception rate−0.2 TB