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2022 · Week 11 · v0.2 · regular season

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

SF
76%
ARI
24%
Predicted winner
SF
Confidence
71%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

3810

Winner SF. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • QB yards/attempt−0.9 SF
  • Rushing defense−0.2 SF
  • Passing defense−0.2 SF
  • Points allowed+0.2 ARI