Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

MIN

53%

DET

47%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

58%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

23–34

Winner DET. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.4 DET
• Rushing defense−0.3 MIN
• Passing defense+0.2 DET
• Win percentage−0.2 MIN