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2022 · Week 12 · v0.2 · regular season

New Orleans Saints at San Francisco 49ers

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

NO
31%
SF
69%
Predicted winner
SF
Confidence
67%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

013

Winner SF. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Home field+0.4 SF
  • Rushing defense+0.4 SF
  • QB yards/attempt+0.2 SF
  • Interception rate+0.2 SF