Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2021 W5 · GB at CIN	79% / 21%	25–22	66%	Correct
2021 W5 · IND at BAL	41% / 59%	25–31	52%	Correct
2021 W5 · LAR at SEA	50% / 50%	26–17	46%	Correct
2021 W5 · MIA at TB	10% / 90%	17–45	73%	Correct
2021 W5 · NE at HOU	56% / 44%	25–22	50%	Correct
2021 W5 · NO at WAS	68% / 32%	33–22	58%	Correct
2021 W5 · NYG at DAL	25% / 75%	20–44	63%	Correct
2021 W5 · NYJ at ATL	40% / 60%	20–27	52%	Correct
2021 W5 · PHI at CAR	36% / 64%	21–18	56%	Miss
2021 W5 · SF at ARI	35% / 65%	10–17	56%	Correct
2021 W5 · TEN at JAX	82% / 18%	37–19	68%	Correct
2021 W4 · ARI at LAR	31% / 69%	37–20	56%	Miss
2021 W4 · BAL at DEN	50% / 50%	23–7	43%	Miss
2021 W4 · CAR at DAL	56% / 44%	28–36	47%	Miss
2021 W4 · CLE at MIN	59% / 41%	14–7	49%	Correct
2021 W4 · DET at CHI	45% / 55%	14–24	46%	Correct
2021 W4 · HOU at BUF	13% / 87%	0–40	68%	Correct
2021 W4 · IND at MIA	68% / 32%	27–17	55%	Correct
2021 W4 · JAX at CIN	24% / 76%	21–24	61%	Correct
2021 W4 · KC at PHI	58% / 42%	42–30	48%	Correct
2021 W4 · LV at LAC	52% / 48%	14–28	44%	Miss
2021 W4 · NYG at NO	12% / 88%	27–21	70%	Miss
2021 W4 · PIT at GB	23% / 77%	17–27	61%	Correct
2021 W4 · SEA at SF	40% / 60%	28–21	49%	Miss
2021 W4 · TB at NE	79% / 21%	19–17	63%	Correct
2021 W4 · TEN at NYJ	82% / 18%	24–27	65%	Miss
2021 W4 · WAS at ATL	47% / 53%	34–30	45%	Miss
2021 W3 · ARI at JAX	80% / 20%	31–19	60%	Correct
2021 W3 · ATL at NYG	47% / 53%	17–14	41%	Miss
2021 W3 · BAL at DET	68% / 32%	19–17	51%	Correct
2021 W3 · CAR at HOU	60% / 40%	24–9	46%	Correct
2021 W3 · CHI at CLE	31% / 69%	6–26	52%	Correct
2021 W3 · CIN at PIT	23% / 77%	24–10	58%	Miss
2021 W3 · GB at SF	62% / 38%	30–28	47%	Correct
2021 W3 · IND at TEN	42% / 58%	16–25	45%	Correct
2021 W3 · LAC at KC	28% / 72%	30–24	54%	Miss
2021 W3 · MIA at LV	21% / 79%	28–31	59%	Correct
2021 W3 · NO at NE	78% / 22%	28–13	59%	Correct
2021 W3 · NYJ at DEN	22% / 78%	0–26	59%	Correct
2021 W3 · PHI at DAL	55% / 45%	21–41	42%	Miss