Green Bay Packers at Cincinnati Bengals

Before kickoff

GB

79%

CIN

21%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

66%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

25–22

Winner GB. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 CIN
• Scoring−0.4 GB
• Turnovers−0.2 GB
• Offensive touchdowns−0.2 GB