New York Jets at Atlanta Falcons

Before kickoff

NYJ

40%

ATL

60%

Predicted winner

ATL

Confidence

52%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–27

Winner ATL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring+0.6 ATL
• Passing offense−0.3 NYJ
• Interception rate+0.3 ATL
• Offensive touchdowns+0.2 ATL