Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers

Before kickoff

CIN

23%

PIT

77%

Predicted winner

PIT

Confidence

58%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–10

Winner CIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 PIT
• Rushing defense+0.4 PIT
• Turnovers+0.3 PIT
• Points allowed−0.3 CIN