New York Giants at New Orleans Saints

Before kickoff

NYG

12%

NO

88%

Predicted winner

NO

Confidence

70%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–21

Winner NYG. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 NO
• Scoring+0.6 NO
• Rushing defense+0.4 NO
• Offensive touchdowns+0.3 NO