Chicago Bears at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

CHI

31%

CLE

69%

Predicted winner

CLE

Confidence

52%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

6–26

Winner CLE. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 CLE
• QB yards/attempt+0.4 CLE
• Scoring+0.4 CLE
• Passing defense−0.2 CHI