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2021 · Week 4 · v0.2 · regular season

Cleveland Browns at Minnesota Vikings

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

CLE
59%
MIN
41%
Predicted winner
CLE
Confidence
49%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

147

Winner CLE. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Home field+0.8 MIN
  • Rushing defense−0.5 CLE
  • Passing defense−0.5 CLE
  • Offensive touchdowns+0.3 MIN