Arizona Cardinals at Jacksonville Jaguars

Before kickoff

ARI

80%

JAX

20%

Predicted winner

ARI

Confidence

60%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–19

Winner ARI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 JAX
• Scoring−0.7 ARI
• Points allowed+0.4 JAX
• Passing defense−0.4 ARI