Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Chargers

Before kickoff

LV

52%

LAC

48%

Predicted winner

LV

Confidence

44%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

14–28

Winner LAC. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 LAC
• Passing defense+0.4 LAC
• Scoring−0.3 LV
• Rushing defense−0.2 LV