Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys

Before kickoff

PHI

55%

DAL

45%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

42%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

21–41

Winner DAL. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.8 DAL
• Passing defense−0.5 PHI
• Points allowed+0.4 DAL
• Passing offense−0.3 PHI