Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2022 W6 · NE at CLE	35% / 65%	38–15	58%	Miss
2022 W6 · NYJ at GB	21% / 79%	27–10	68%	Miss
2022 W6 · SF at ATL	69% / 31%	14–28	61%	Miss
2022 W6 · TB at PIT	84% / 16%	18–20	72%	Miss
2022 W6 · WAS at CHI	50% / 50%	12–7	48%	Miss
2022 W5 · ATL at TB	29% / 71%	15–21	60%	Correct
2022 W5 · CHI at MIN	31% / 69%	22–29	59%	Correct
2022 W5 · CIN at BAL	48% / 52%	17–19	47%	Correct
2022 W5 · DAL at LAR	50% / 50%	22–10	46%	Miss
2022 W5 · DET at NE	61% / 39%	0–29	53%	Miss
2022 W5 · HOU at JAX	26% / 74%	13–6	62%	Miss
2022 W5 · IND at DEN	47% / 53%	12–9	48%	Miss
2022 W5 · LAC at CLE	42% / 58%	30–28	51%	Miss
2022 W5 · LV at KC	23% / 77%	29–30	65%	Correct
2022 W5 · MIA at NYJ	55% / 45%	17–40	49%	Miss
2022 W5 · NYG at GB	35% / 65%	27–22	56%	Miss
2022 W5 · PHI at ARI	54% / 46%	20–17	49%	Correct
2022 W5 · PIT at BUF	8% / 92%	3–38	75%	Correct
2022 W5 · SEA at NO	54% / 46%	32–39	48%	Miss
2022 W5 · SF at CAR	80% / 20%	37–15	67%	Correct
2022 W5 · TEN at WAS	64% / 36%	21–17	55%	Correct
2022 W4 · ARI at CAR	71% / 29%	26–16	57%	Correct
2022 W4 · BUF at BAL	68% / 32%	23–20	56%	Correct
2022 W4 · CHI at NYG	38% / 62%	12–20	51%	Correct
2022 W4 · CLE at ATL	62% / 38%	20–23	51%	Miss
2022 W4 · DEN at LV	52% / 48%	23–32	44%	Miss
2022 W4 · JAX at PHI	29% / 71%	21–29	57%	Correct
2022 W4 · KC at TB	51% / 49%	41–31	44%	Correct
2022 W4 · LAC at HOU	72% / 28%	34–24	58%	Correct
2022 W4 · LAR at SF	36% / 64%	9–24	52%	Correct
2022 W4 · MIA at CIN	37% / 63%	15–27	51%	Correct
2022 W4 · MIN at NO	53% / 47%	28–25	45%	Correct
2022 W4 · NE at GB	34% / 66%	24–27	54%	Correct
2022 W4 · NYJ at PIT	41% / 59%	24–20	49%	Miss
2022 W4 · SEA at DET	39% / 61%	48–45	51%	Miss
2022 W4 · TEN at IND	44% / 56%	24–17	47%	Miss
2022 W4 · WAS at DAL	29% / 71%	10–25	58%	Correct
2022 W3 · ATL at SEA	47% / 53%	27–23	41%	Miss
2022 W3 · BAL at NE	42% / 58%	37–26	45%	Miss
2022 W3 · BUF at MIA	74% / 26%	19–21	56%	Miss