Los Angeles Chargers at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

LAC

42%

CLE

58%

Predicted winner

CLE

Confidence

51%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

30–28

Winner LAC. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing offense+0.5 CLE
• Home field+0.4 CLE
• Offensive touchdowns−0.2 LAC
• QB yards/attempt−0.2 LAC