Los Angeles Chargers at Houston Texans

Before kickoff

LAC

72%

HOU

28%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

58%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

34–24

Winner LAC. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing defense−0.5 LAC
• Scoring−0.4 LAC
• Passing offense+0.4 HOU
• Home field+0.4 HOU