Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2025 W2 · BUF at NYJ	59% / 41%	30–10	40%	Correct
2025 W2 · CAR at ARI	21% / 79%	22–27	54%	Correct
2025 W2 · CHI at DET	21% / 79%	21–52	54%	Correct
2025 W2 · CLE at BAL	9% / 91%	17–41	63%	Correct
2025 W2 · DEN at IND	54% / 46%	28–29	36%	Miss
2025 W2 · JAX at CIN	27% / 73%	27–31	50%	Correct
2025 W2 · LAC at LV	58% / 42%	20–9	40%	Correct
2025 W2 · LAR at TEN	64% / 36%	33–19	44%	Correct
2025 W2 · NE at MIA	36% / 64%	33–27	44%	Miss
2025 W2 · NYG at DAL	27% / 73%	37–40	50%	Correct
2025 W2 · PHI at KC	58% / 42%	20–17	40%	Correct
2025 W2 · SEA at PIT	28% / 72%	31–17	49%	Miss
2025 W2 · SF at NO	60% / 40%	26–21	41%	Correct
2025 W2 · TB at HOU	68% / 32%	20–19	47%	Correct
2025 W2 · WAS at GB	47% / 53%	18–27	36%	Correct
2025 W1 · ARI at NO	58% / 42%	20–13	32%	Correct
2025 W1 · BAL at BUF	55% / 45%	40–41	30%	Miss
2025 W1 · CAR at JAX	47% / 53%	10–26	28%	Correct
2025 W1 · CIN at CLE	72% / 28%	17–16	41%	Correct
2025 W1 · DAL at PHI	18% / 82%	20–24	48%	Correct
2025 W1 · DET at GB	54% / 46%	13–27	29%	Miss
2025 W1 · HOU at LAR	47% / 53%	9–14	28%	Correct
2025 W1 · KC at LAC	51% / 49%	21–27	27%	Miss
2025 W1 · LV at NE	46% / 54%	20–13	29%	Miss
2025 W1 · MIA at IND	48% / 52%	8–33	28%	Correct
2025 W1 · MIN at CHI	63% / 37%	27–24	35%	Correct
2025 W1 · NYG at WAS	16% / 84%	6–21	50%	Correct
2025 W1 · PIT at NYJ	58% / 42%	34–32	32%	Correct
2025 W1 · SF at SEA	41% / 59%	17–13	32%	Miss
2025 W1 · TB at ATL	67% / 33%	23–20	38%	Correct
2025 W1 · TEN at DEN	22% / 78%	12–20	46%	Correct
2024 W18 · BUF at NE	76% / 24%	16–23	75%	Miss
2024 W18 · CAR at ATL	35% / 65%	44–38	68%	Miss
2024 W18 · CHI at GB	29% / 71%	24–22	72%	Miss
2024 W18 · CIN at PIT	43% / 57%	19–17	62%	Miss
2024 W18 · CLE at BAL	9% / 91%	10–35	86%	Correct
2024 W18 · HOU at TEN	68% / 32%	23–14	70%	Correct
2024 W18 · JAX at IND	42% / 58%	23–26	63%	Correct
2024 W18 · KC at DEN	56% / 44%	0–38	62%	Miss
2024 W18 · LAC at LV	65% / 35%	34–20	67%	Correct