Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals

Before kickoff

JAX

27%

CIN

73%

Predicted winner

CIN

Confidence

50%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–31

Winner CIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 CIN
• Offensive touchdowns+0.3 CIN
• Scoring+0.2 CIN
• Interception rate+0.2 CIN