Carolina Panthers at Jacksonville Jaguars

Before kickoff

CAR

47%

JAX

53%

Predicted winner

JAX

Confidence

28%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

10–26

Winner JAX. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 JAX
• QB yards/attempt−0.2 CAR
• Rushing defense+0.2 JAX
• Scoring differential+0.1 JAX