Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

CIN

72%

CLE

28%

Predicted winner

CIN

Confidence

41%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

17–16

Winner CIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring−0.5 CIN
• Offensive touchdowns−0.3 CIN
• Home field+0.3 CLE
• Scoring differential−0.3 CIN