Philadelphia Eagles at Kansas City Chiefs

Before kickoff

PHI

58%

KC

42%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

40%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–17

Winner PHI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Rushing offense−0.3 PHI
• Home field+0.3 KC
• Scoring−0.2 PHI
• Scoring differential−0.1 PHI