Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

CHI

21%

DET

79%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

54%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

21–52

Winner DET. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring+0.4 DET
• Win percentage+0.3 DET
• Home field+0.3 DET
• Passing efficiency−0.3 CHI