Seattle Seahawks at Pittsburgh Steelers

Before kickoff

SEA

28%

PIT

72%

Predicted winner

PIT

Confidence

49%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–17

Winner SEA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 PIT
• Offensive touchdowns+0.2 PIT
• QB yards/attempt+0.2 PIT
• Scoring+0.2 PIT