Houston Texans at Los Angeles Rams

Before kickoff

HOU

47%

LAR

53%

Predicted winner

LAR

Confidence

28%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

9–14

Winner LAR. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 LAR
• QB yards/attempt+0.1 LAR
• Rushing defense−0.1 HOU
• Passing efficiency−0.1 HOU