Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2025 W5 · MIA at CAR	56% / 44%	24–27	50%	Miss
2025 W5 · MIN at CLE	83% / 17%	21–17	69%	Correct
2025 W5 · NE at BUF	24% / 76%	23–20	64%	Miss
2025 W5 · NYG at NO	33% / 67%	14–26	58%	Correct
2025 W5 · SF at LAR	32% / 68%	26–23	58%	Miss
2025 W5 · TB at SEA	50% / 50%	38–35	46%	Correct
2025 W5 · TEN at ARI	18% / 82%	22–21	68%	Miss
2025 W5 · WAS at LAC	49% / 51%	27–10	46%	Miss
2025 W4 · BAL at KC	61% / 39%	20–37	51%	Miss
2025 W4 · CAR at NE	38% / 62%	13–42	51%	Correct
2025 W4 · CHI at LV	52% / 49%	25–24	44%	Correct
2025 W4 · CIN at DEN	41% / 59%	3–28	49%	Correct
2025 W4 · CLE at DET	9% / 91%	10–34	71%	Correct
2025 W4 · IND at LAR	57% / 43%	20–27	47%	Miss
2025 W4 · JAX at SF	42% / 58%	26–21	48%	Miss
2025 W4 · LAC at NYG	74% / 26%	18–21	59%	Miss
2025 W4 · MIN at PIT	58% / 42%	21–24	48%	Miss
2025 W4 · NO at BUF	15% / 85%	19–31	68%	Correct
2025 W4 · NYJ at MIA	39% / 61%	21–27	51%	Correct
2025 W4 · PHI at TB	45% / 55%	31–25	46%	Miss
2025 W4 · SEA at ARI	49% / 51%	23–20	43%	Miss
2025 W4 · TEN at HOU	30% / 70%	0–26	57%	Correct
2025 W4 · WAS at ATL	66% / 34%	27–34	54%	Miss
2025 W3 · ARI at SF	57% / 43%	15–16	44%	Miss
2025 W3 · ATL at CAR	65% / 35%	0–30	49%	Miss
2025 W3 · CIN at MIN	49% / 51%	10–48	40%	Correct
2025 W3 · DAL at CHI	57% / 43%	14–31	44%	Miss
2025 W3 · DEN at LAC	47% / 53%	20–23	41%	Correct
2025 W3 · DET at BAL	40% / 60%	38–30	46%	Miss
2025 W3 · GB at CLE	85% / 15%	10–13	63%	Miss
2025 W3 · HOU at JAX	45% / 55%	10–17	43%	Correct
2025 W3 · IND at TEN	76% / 24%	41–20	57%	Correct
2025 W3 · KC at NYG	66% / 34%	22–9	50%	Correct
2025 W3 · LAR at PHI	29% / 71%	26–33	54%	Correct
2025 W3 · LV at WAS	20% / 80%	24–41	60%	Correct
2025 W3 · MIA at BUF	21% / 79%	21–31	59%	Correct
2025 W3 · NO at SEA	33% / 67%	13–44	51%	Correct
2025 W3 · NYJ at TB	15% / 85%	27–29	64%	Correct
2025 W3 · PIT at NE	57% / 43%	21–14	44%	Correct
2025 W2 · ATL at MIN	28% / 72%	22–6	49%	Miss