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2025 · Week 4 · v0.2 · regular season

Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

TEN
30%
HOU
70%
Predicted winner
HOU
Confidence
57%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

026

Winner HOU. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • QB yards/attempt+0.4 HOU
  • Home field+0.3 HOU
  • Scoring differential+0.2 HOU
  • Win percentage+0.1 HOU