Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears

Before kickoff

DAL

57%

CHI

43%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

44%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

14–31

Winner CHI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 CHI
• QB yards/attempt−0.2 DAL
• Win percentage−0.2 DAL
• Scoring−0.2 DAL