Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers

Before kickoff

DEN

47%

LAC

53%

Predicted winner

LAC

Confidence

41%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–23

Winner LAC. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Passing efficiency−0.3 DEN
• Home field+0.3 LAC
• Interception rate+0.2 LAC
• Turnovers−0.2 DEN