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2025 · Week 4 · v0.2 · regular season

Minnesota Vikings at Pittsburgh Steelers

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

MIN
58%
PIT
42%
Predicted winner
MIN
Confidence
48%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

2124

Winner PIT. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Scoring differential−0.1 MIN
  • Passing efficiency+0.1 PIT
  • Scoring−0.1 MIN
  • Interception rate+0.1 PIT