Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs

Before kickoff

BAL

61%

KC

39%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

51%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–37

Winner KC. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring−0.4 BAL
• Passing efficiency+0.4 KC
• Offensive touchdowns−0.3 BAL
• Home field+0.3 KC